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ETH prediction market uses Binance price, Decrypt reports

ETH prediction market uses Binance price, Decrypt reports

by | Nov 13, 2026 | Ethereum

The ETH prediction market has a period that runs through 4:59 p.m. UTC on Nov. 13, 2026, and uses Binance's ETH/USDT spot price, Decrypt reported. The available details do not establish the price at 7 a.m. EST or list the individual targets.

The ETH prediction market's outcomes depend on the price relative to separate targets, according to Decrypt. The rules come as Coinpaper reported that Ethereum fell below $2,000 on Friday and that about $259.1 million in leveraged Ethereum positions were liquidated over 24 hours.

How the ETH prediction market resolves

Decrypt said the ETH prediction market contains multiple targets, each of which resolves independently as Yes or No. A target resolves No if the Binance ETH/USDT spot price at resolution is equal to or lower than that target, according to the outlet.

Decrypt identified the Binance ETH/USDT spot chart as the price source and said a team would validate the outcome within 24 hours after it occurs. The outlet described the market period as starting at publication, but the available notes do not give a publication date. They identify the end of the period but do not specify a separate resolution time or establish that a 7 a.m. EST price will be used.

The ETH prediction market details listed by Decrypt also refer to a suspension or unreliability in Binance's ETH/USDT spot market, significant platform disruptions and other circumstances that prevent reliable price tracking. The available notes do not specify which of those circumstances would lead to cancellation.

Decrypt reported that cancellation would allow participants to claim their stakes based on their shares' value at that point. Depending on the share price at cancellation, that could result in either a profit or a loss.

Ethereum's Friday decline

Coinpaper reported that ETH fell below $2,000 on Friday, Nov. 13, extending a November selloff. The outlet put the token at about $1,935 after an earlier Binance low near $1,896, though the available details do not identify either figure as the 7 a.m. EST price.

An early Friday CoinGlass snapshot cited by Coinpaper showed approximately $259.1 million in leveraged Ethereum liquidations over 24 hours. About $234.9 million, or 90.7% of the total, came from long positions, the outlet reported.

Coinpaper said the decline followed repeated attempts to hold $2,000, a level that had attracted buyers during the correction. The outlet contrasted the selloff with an earlier recovery toward $2,400, when investors had briefly expected institutional flows to stabilize.

Coinpaper said an earlier Ethereum futures selloff had also involved the collapse of bullish positions, adding to downward pressure. The outlet distinguished price weakness and ETF withdrawals from evidence about blockchain use, saying they reflected investor positioning rather than direct proof of reduced activity.

ETF withdrawals and wider selling

The ETH prediction market also follows withdrawals from U.S. spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds. Citing Farside Investors, Coinpaper reported net outflows of $144.8 million on Nov. 11, including $129.8 million from BlackRock's ETHA.

Preliminary figures for Nov. 12 showed a further $8 million in withdrawals, Coinpaper reported, while noting that several major funds had not yet reported complete flow data. The outlet also cited a $184.6 million withdrawal on Nov. 9.

Coinpaper reported that Bitcoin's fall below $70,000 coincided with wider cryptocurrency selling and about $1.47 billion in market-wide leveraged liquidations. The outlet also said the correction followed stronger U.S. inflation data that increased expectations of another Federal Reserve rate increase in December.

According to Coinpaper, higher interest rates and Treasury yields can weaken demand for speculative investments, including cryptocurrencies, which the outlet said rely heavily on investor liquidity. Coinpaper also pointed to $1.61 billion in Ethereum ETF withdrawals in October when discussing the wider outlook.

ETH forecasts and price levels

Separately from the ETH prediction market, Finbold's AI-powered prediction agent projected ETH at $1,915 on Nov. 30, 2026. Finbold said that figure was the mean of projections from DeepSeek Chat and ChatGPT-5.7 Luna, which gave roughly equivalent estimates.

Finbold reported that DeepSeek projected $1,925.5 for Nov. 30, while the OpenAI model estimated $1,905 for the same date. Those forecasts concern the end of the month rather than the Nov. 13 market period described by Decrypt.

For the nearer term, Coinpaper identified the $1,900 area as a downside reference near Friday's intraday low. The outlet said a failure to hold that area could expose levels around $1,850 and $1,800, while describing them as conditional scenarios rather than confirmed support zones.

Coinpaper said regaining $1,950 would offer an early sign of stabilization, while a sustained move above $2,000 could open a path toward $2,050 to $2,100. The outlet linked such a move to a reversal of an earlier failed recovery, when slower ETF withdrawals had not produced a sustained breakout. These are the outlet's conditional assessments, not established outcomes for the ETH prediction market.

Conclusion

Decrypt reported that the market period ends at 4:59 p.m. UTC on Nov. 13 and that each ETH/USDT target resolves separately using Binance's spot chart. The available details do not give the individual targets, a resolution time or the ETH price at 7 a.m. EST. Coinpaper reported a Friday decline below $2,000, but its cited price figures are not identified as prices at that time. The next concrete step in Decrypt's description is validation by a team within 24 hours after the outcome occurs.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was ETH's price at 7 a.m. EST on Nov. 13, 2026?

The available details do not establish ETH's price at 7 a.m. EST. Coinpaper put the token at about $1,935, following an earlier Binance low near $1,896, but neither figure is identified as the price at that specific time. Decrypt's market period runs through 4:59 p.m. UTC on Nov. 13.

How does the ETH prediction market use Binance prices?

Decrypt reported that the market uses the Binance ETH/USDT spot chart and contains multiple targets that resolve independently. A target resolves No if the spot price at resolution is equal to or below that target. The available details do not list the target levels or specify a separate resolution time.

What happens if the ETH prediction market is cancelled?

According to Decrypt, cancellation allows participants to claim their stakes based on the value of their shares at that point. The outcome could be a profit or a loss, depending on that share price. The available notes do not specify which circumstances would cause a cancellation.

What ETH price did Finbold's AI agent predict for Nov. 30, 2026?

Finbold's AI-powered prediction agent projected an ETH price of $1,915 on Nov. 30, 2026. The outlet said the figure was the mean of estimates from DeepSeek Chat and ChatGPT-5.7 Luna. Finbold reported individual projections of $1,925.5 and $1,905, respectively, for that date.

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Strategy index removal from MSCI benchmarks takes effect November 30

Strategy index removal from MSCI benchmarks takes effect November 30

by | Nov 13, 2026 | Bitcoin

The Strategy index removal will take the world's largest corporate bitcoin holder out of the MSCI USA, MSCI World and MSCI All Country World indexes at the close of November 30, 2026. Bitcoinist reported that MSCI confirmed the decision on November 11 under new eligibility requirements for non-operating companies.

The decision affects a stock held by funds that follow MSCI benchmarks. According to CryptoTicker, those funds must sell their Strategy shares, but ABC Money reported that the index change does not require the company to sell its bitcoin.

Funds tracking MSCI's global stock benchmarks hold shares in Strategy, ABC Money reported. The Strategy index removal also does not take the company's shares off exchange trading, according to ABC Money.

The rule behind the Strategy index removal

ABC Money reported that MSCI adopted the eligibility rule on October 15, 2026, excluding non-operating companies from its Global Investable Market Indexes. According to the report, the category covers companies whose balance sheets are primarily composed of one financial asset, rather than assets tied to an operating business.

Bitcoinist reported that MSCI introduced the framework after examining whether companies with substantial financial assets should be included in equity indexes. Under that framework, the outlet reported, Strategy was classified as a non-operating business.

According to CryptoTicker, MSCI first checks whether operating assets account for at least half of a company's total assets. Companies that do not meet that screen face a second stage with five metrics, including measures of operating income, costs, cash flow, fair-value changes and reliance on raising capital.

A company that fails four of the five metrics becomes ineligible, CryptoTicker reported. The outlet said existing index members receive a buffer under which deletion requires failures in their two most recent annual reports, with MSCI also able to consider the latest interim report.

Fund holdings and selling estimates

Strategy estimated in its consultation submission that funds tracking MSCI indexes owned about 13 million of its shares, or approximately 3.1% of its outstanding common stock, according to ABC Money and CryptoTicker. That figure describes the funds' shareholdings, rather than a confirmed dollar amount of future sales.

JPMorgan estimated that the Strategy index removal could generate about $2.8 billion in selling pressure from passive funds tracking MSCI benchmarks, Bitcoinist reported. The figure is an estimate, not a record of completed sales.

CryptoTicker said JPMorgan's projection, which the outlet reported as early as November 2025, also contemplated as much as $8.8 billion in passive outflows if other index providers followed MSCI. 99Bitcoins likewise reported that JPMorgan's larger estimate depended on other providers following MSCI.

The Strategy index removal applies to MSCI's own benchmarks; 99Bitcoins reported that the broader selling estimate would depend on other index providers following MSCI. CryptoTicker reported that an MSCI World exchange-traded fund adjusts its holdings without requiring its investors to act.

Strategy's response and bitcoin holdings

Strategy has disputed the classification, arguing that its bitcoin treasury strategy is an operating business rather than a passive investment fund, Bitcoinist reported. According to 99Bitcoins, the company also argued in its response to MSCI that standard accounting rules do not define operating and non-operating companies.

After the decision, Strategy asked MSCI to withdraw the rule and criticized it as discriminatory, arbitrary and misguided, 99Bitcoins reported. CryptoTicker said the company had written in a letter to MSCI at the end of August that deletion would not materially affect its business.

CryptoTicker reported, citing Strategy's filing with the SEC, that the company owned 850,364 bitcoin on November 8, 2026, acquired for an average of $75,456 each. According to the same filing, as reported by CryptoTicker, Strategy's total outlay for the bitcoin was $64.16 billion.

Bitcoinist reported that Strategy's business model includes raising capital through equity and debt offerings to accumulate bitcoin. According to ABC Money, the company has financed bitcoin purchases by issuing shares for more than the net asset value represented by its holdings of the cryptocurrency.

Other companies on deletion lists

The review also reaches companies beyond Strategy. CryptoTicker reported that Japanese bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet is listed for deletion from the MSCI Japan Small Cap index, while British uranium holder Yellow Cake is leaving the MSCI United Kingdom Small Cap index.

99Bitcoins, citing Reuters, also reported that Metaplanet and Yellow Cake would be removed from MSCI global indexes. ABC Money, citing The Block, reported that Upexi was being removed from the MSCI US Micro Cap index under the same rule change.

CryptoTicker reported that MSCI's October list of potentially affected companies included 17 other names, among them SharpLink, TON Strategy and Solana Company. The outlet said those companies were not deleted in this round.

Conclusion

Strategy is set to leave three MSCI benchmarks at the close of November 30, 2026, following the introduction of the index provider's non-operating company rule. The change concerns ownership of Strategy shares, not a requirement for the company to liquidate bitcoin, according to ABC Money. The amount of selling remains an estimate: Bitcoinist reported that JPMorgan put potential passive-fund pressure at about $2.8 billion. Strategy, for its part, told MSCI that deletion would not materially affect its business, according to CryptoTicker.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will Strategy leave the MSCI World index?

Strategy is due to leave the MSCI USA index at the close of November 30, 2026, with removal from the MSCI World and MSCI All Country World indexes following from that change. Bitcoinist reported that MSCI confirmed the decision on November 11.

Why is MSCI removing Strategy from its indexes?

Bitcoinist reported that MSCI placed Strategy under new eligibility requirements for non-operating businesses. ABC Money said the rule, adopted on October 15, 2026, excludes a category of companies with balance sheets made up predominantly of one financial asset, as opposed to assets associated with an operating business.

How much Strategy stock could MSCI index funds sell?

JPMorgan estimated approximately $2.8 billion in potential selling pressure from passive funds tracking MSCI benchmarks, according to Bitcoinist. Separately, Strategy estimated that MSCI index-tracking funds held about 13 million of its shares, or around 3.1% of its outstanding common stock, ABC Money and CryptoTicker reported.

Does the MSCI removal force Strategy to sell its bitcoin?

No. According to CryptoTicker, funds tracking the MSCI World index must sell their Strategy shares by November 30, but ABC Money reported that the company is not required to sell its bitcoin because of the removal. ABC Money also reported that the decision does not delist Strategy shares from exchange trading.

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Bitcoin price drop below $69,000 tied to liquidation, analyst says

Bitcoin price drop below $69,000 tied to liquidation, analyst says

by | Nov 13, 2026 | Bitcoin

The Bitcoin price drop took the cryptocurrency below $69,000 on Friday, with Decrypt data showing it down 5.6% on the day at just over $69,300. Decrypt reported that its lowest point in the preceding 24 hours was $67,922, a level not seen since mid-August.

Tim Sun, senior analyst at Hashkey, told Decrypt that a concentrated liquidation of leveraged long positions directly triggered the move below $69,000. He said weakening demand was the deeper issue, pointing to pressure across exchange-traded funds, stablecoins and corporate treasury firms.

What drove the Bitcoin price drop

Sun pointed to six consecutive days of net withdrawals from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, citing CoinGlass data, according to Decrypt. Those withdrawals were one part of his assessment that demand supporting the market had weakened.

Separately, MENAFN reported that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs had about $1.28 billion in net outflows in the week ended November 6, the largest weekly withdrawal since June. The publication said the withdrawals pushed the funds' 2026 net flows into negative territory, at roughly $914 million in net outflows for the year.

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust accounted for about $403 million of withdrawals on November 6, or approximately 88% of the day's total, MENAFN reported. That daily figure was part of the weekly outflow reported by the publication.

Sun also cited a shrinking stablecoin supply and the removal of digital asset treasury firm Strategy from MSCI funds, Decrypt reported. Discussing the Bitcoin price drop, Sun told Decrypt: "ETFs, stablecoin liquidity, and corporate treasuries have served as the primary capital pillars supporting this Bitcoin rally".

Liquidations and the wider market

Sun's account of the Bitcoin price drop distinguished the immediate liquidation of leveraged longs from the longer-running weakness he saw in demand, according to Decrypt. His explanation put both derivatives positioning and the flow of capital into crypto-related products at the center of the decline.

In separate coverage, MENAFN reported that Bitcoin had fallen to about $73,500 over a weekend, with liquidations of crypto positions exceeding $1 billion during a 24-hour period. Citing CoinGlass, it said roughly $1.03 billion of the liquidations were long positions, with Bitcoin accounting for about $302 million and Ether for around $495 million.

MENAFN said the liquidation figures showed that traders positioned for higher prices bore most of the losses as the market fell. Its assessment was that ETF redemptions also pointed to weaker spot demand, beyond the reduction in leverage.

Other major cryptocurrencies also fell in Decrypt's data: Ether was down 4.6% on the day at $1,953, BNB slipped 4.7% to $639.46, and Solana fell 3.1% to $80.47. Decrypt reported that the global crypto market capitalization declined 4.6% over 24 hours to $2.39 trillion.

Inflation and rate expectations

The Bitcoin price drop followed a U.S. consumer price index report that experts described as hotter than expected, Decrypt reported. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, said October's 0.4% monthly CPI increase exceeded expectations even though it was lower than September's 0.6%, according to the publication.

Decrypt reported that Butterfill highlighted a 0.5% rise in food prices, a 0.3% increase in core CPI and a 0.5% gain in services excluding rent. Butterfill said the figures meant inflation could no longer be readily dismissed as an oil-driven issue.

The CPI tracks average price changes for everyday goods and services, and central banks use it when weighing interest-rate decisions, according to Decrypt. The publication said a higher-than-expected reading can signal a potential Federal Reserve rate increase.

Decrypt reported that Polymarket participants put the chance of a Fed rate increase during 2026 at 97%, up from 75% at the start of the week. It also said the CME FedWatch tool showed an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point increase and a 12% probability of a 50-basis-point rise.

Technology stocks and the recovery outlook

Decrypt also reported that the Bitcoin price drop followed the resignation of Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. Sun told the publication that the departure had caused volatility in technology stocks and weakened risk appetite, adding: "This has prompted broader portfolio de-risking, amplifying the downward pressure on Bitcoin".

For a crypto rebound, Sun said long-term allocation capital would need to return after pressure on ETFs, stablecoins and digital asset treasury companies in recent weeks, according to Decrypt. His assessment ties a recovery to demand returning across the channels he identified as supporting the rally.

In its analysis, MENAFN said renewed ETF inflows, alongside Bitcoin recovering the cost basis of recent buyers, would be needed for a durable trend reversal. The publication had identified that cost basis near $75,800, above the price Decrypt later reported.

Conclusion

Decrypt's data put Bitcoin just above $69,300 after a fall below $69,000, while Hashkey's Tim Sun attributed the immediate move to liquidations of leveraged longs. Sun also identified weaker demand across ETFs, stablecoins and corporate treasuries, and MENAFN separately reported substantial ETF withdrawals in the week ended November 6. The development Sun said was needed for a rebound is a return of long-term allocation capital to crypto. MENAFN's assessment likewise pointed to renewed ETF inflows as one condition for a durable trend reversal.

Frequently Asked Questions

How low did Bitcoin fall on Friday?

According to Decrypt, the cryptocurrency touched $67,922 over 24 hours, falling to its lowest price since mid-August. Its data subsequently showed the cryptocurrency trading at just over $69,300, down 5.6% on the day. Hashkey analyst Tim Sun attributed the move below $69,000 to a concentrated liquidation of leveraged long positions.

What did Tim Sun say caused Bitcoin's drop below $69,000?

Sun, a senior analyst at Hashkey, told Decrypt that liquidations of leveraged long positions directly triggered the decline below $69,000. He said weaker market demand was the deeper issue, pointing to pressure involving spot Bitcoin ETFs, stablecoin supply and digital asset treasury firms.

How much left U.S. Bitcoin ETFs in the week ended November 6?

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $1.28 billion in net withdrawals during the week ended November 6, according to MENAFN. The publication said that was the largest weekly outflow since June and that the funds had about $914 million in net withdrawals for 2026.

How did October CPI relate to Bitcoin's Friday decline?

Decrypt reported that the decline followed a consumer price index reading that experts considered hotter than expected. CoinShares research head James Butterfill said October CPI rose 0.4% from the prior month, below September's 0.6% increase but still above expectations, according to Decrypt.

What does Tim Sun say Bitcoin needs for a rebound?

Sun told Decrypt that a crypto rebound requires long-term allocation capital to return after pressure on ETFs, stablecoins and digital asset treasury companies. MENAFN separately said renewed ETF inflows and a recovery of recent buyers' cost basis were among the conditions for a durable trend reversal.

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Binance reserve report: source facts needed

Binance reserve report: source facts needed

by | Nov 13, 2026 | Altcoin News

No facts or quotes were provided to verify the proposed Binance reserve report. Please supply sourced reserve figures and details of the reported hack and claimed $6.3 billion gap.

A longer article cannot be written from the supplied material without adding unverified information. Source facts, publication names and any exact quotations are needed to report the figures, reaction and next steps.

Binance reserve report figures

The supplied material contains no reserve figures that can be attributed to a source. It also does not establish whether a report was released or provide a date for one.

Reported hack and claimed gap

The supplied facts do not verify the reported hack or explain the claimed $6.3 billion gap. They also do not establish whether that gap has been closed.

Sources and next steps

Sourced details of the Binance reserve report, the reported hack and the claimed gap are needed before the story can be expanded. No reaction, exact quotations or concrete next steps were supplied.

Conclusion

The supplied material does not contain facts that establish the proposed Binance reserve report or its figures. Sourced information is needed to write the article without making unverified claims.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Binance reserve report show?

The supplied facts do not establish that the report was released or provide its contents. Sourced report details are needed to answer.

Has the claimed $6.3 billion gap been closed?

The supplied facts do not establish what the claimed gap represents or whether it has been closed.

What is known about the reported Binance hack?

No sourced facts about the reported hack were supplied, so its details cannot be verified from the material provided.

What reserve figures were supplied for Binance?

The facts list contained no reserve figures. Figures and their sources are needed before the proposed holdings can be reported.

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