Bitcoin is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, a sort of digital asset that records, signs, and sends transactions across the Bitcoin blockchain without the oversight of a central authority. The BTC network was established in January 2009 by an anonymous computer programmer or group of programmers under the alias "Satoshi Nakamoto." The network is a peer-to-peer electronic payment system that employs bitcoin as a cryptocurrency to transmit value via the internet or as a store of value like gold and silver.
The newsletter's publishing date will stay unchanged, and the content will continue to focus on technical and fundamental analysis of cryptocurrencies from a macro perspective to spot important movements in investor mood and market structure.
Is it time to go long?
Bitcoin's (BTC tickers down $20,737) price has risen this week, reaching $21,000 on Oct. 26. This prompted a few traders to declare that the bottom had been reached or that BTC was entering the next phase of some technical structure such as Wyckoff, a range break, or some form of support resistance flip.
Before we get all positive and open 10x longs, let's go back to a previous analysis to see if anything has changed in Bitcoin's market structure and whether the recent burst of bullish momentum is indicative of a larger trend change.
When the last update was released on September 30, Bitcoin was trading at about $19,600, remaining within the range of the previous 136 days of price action. I discovered bullish divergences on the weekly relative strength index (RSI) and moving average confluence divergence at the time (MACD). There were also a few potential "bottoming" signs from other on-chain indicators that were at multi-year lows.
The Bollinger Bands are Quite Tight.
The Bollinger Bands on the daily period remain constrained, and this week's leap to $21,000 was the expected expansion or increase in volatility. After breaking out from the upper arm, the price has retraced to test the mid-line/mid-band (20MA) as support, as is customary.
Despite the severity of the rise, Bitcoin's price remains capped below. For the past two weeks, Bitcoin's "record-low volatility" has been the talk of the town, and when utilizing the Bollinger Bands, GMMA, and BVOL, the tighter price range does hint at expansion, but in which direction is unknown.
Bitcoin has been trading in the $18,600-$24,500 area for 36 days, and the price remains towards the middle of that range according to technical analysis. The rise to $21,000 did not result in a substantial daily higher high or break out of the present range, which is effectively a lateral chop.
For the time being, the price is above the 20-day moving average, but it has yet to cross over the 50-day moving average, and the majority of the Oct. 26 gain has been retraced back to the low $20,000 area.
In The Future
Multiple data points appear to indicate that Bitcoin's price is undervalued and in the process of forming a bottom, but none indicates that the market bottom has been reached.
Several Bitcoin mining companies have openly acknowledged the need to restructure debt, and the possibility of missed debt payments, and some have even hinted at impending bankruptcy this week and in previous months.
Since June, most publicly traded miners have been selling the majority of their mined BTC, and recent stories about Compute North and Core Scientific suggest that Bitcoin's price is still vulnerable owing to solvency difficulties among industrial miners.
Conclusion
According to Glassnode data, the aggregate size of miner balances is roughly 78,400 BTC and is "held by miners we have labeled (accounting for 96% of current hash rate).” According to Glassnode, in the event of "income stress," miners may be obliged to liquidate tranches of these reserves in the open market, and the effect on Bitcoin's price might be the next spark of a sell-off to new yearly lows.
A massive crypto platform blunder happened in crypto exchange Crypto.com. The error was disclosed after 7 months after the incident. A huge amount of crypto has been transferred mistakenly. Nearly AU$10.5 million ($7.2 million) worth of crypto has accidentally been transferred to a woman in Melbourne.
But the blunder became a more complicated issue as the Australian woman Thevamanogari Manivel spent a massive amount of the crypto. According to reports, five-bedroom property in suburban Melbourne was purchased from the crypto. The spent amount is AU$1.35 million.
How Did it Happen?
In December 2021, during an audit, that crypto firm disclosed that it had made a mistake in processing an AU$100 refund. That happened seven months earlier than that disclosure. That time the error was unnoticed.
The firm did this blunder during the payment process to the Australian lady. It entered the account number of that woman into the payment amount space.
Getting back the funds that were mistakenly transferred, the state of Victoria’s Supreme Court has ordered the home. It was ordered to sell the properties that were bought by capital and the money was returned to the company.
Recent reports show that the case is expected to back into court next month in October 2022.
The Legal Actions :
It was reported that the firm, Crypto.com had launched legal action to get back the amount
in the Victoria Supreme Court.
Following the court's order, the Australian Woman's bank account was frozen in February 2022. Unfortunately, the major amount of money either has already been spent or transferred to other bank accounts.
The court judgment stated that the money that was accidentally sent from the firm, was distributed to other relatives of that lady. Manivel sent $430,000 from that amount to her daughter in January 2022. Apart from that, she purchased a house in Craigieburn, a suburb of Melbourne. The house is priced at $1.35 million.
The court has ordered to sell the house and return $1.35 million to the firm along with its interest. As the interest was added, the amount is going to be raised at a high level to return it.
If that sister duo will not put their property for sale, Cypto.com will reportedly appoint a receiver to sell the house and will recover its money from the proceeds.
Also, if the lady will not cooperate with the court's proceeding, they are going to dip into more troublesome legal actions. Additionally, the court has also ordered the ladies to pay for the court's proceedings.
Present Condition Of The Market :
Notably, in this crypto winter, all the crypto platforms along with the major ones are suffering from their losses. Several exploits and scams are taking place in the market. Users and investors are panicking to invest in the market. Bad actors are luring the users through fake air drops and several other offers to gain tokens. Along with the platforms, its user community is also suffering from its losses. In those circumstances, that kind of error made by Crypto.com led it to a more risky financial structure. To play safe, the platform reportedly hid its blunder. There are so many reasons to hide that error from the other community. As the users are going backward in terms of believing any platform, the platform chose not to disclose its error. Additionally, for more advancement, the crypto platforms are choosing to adopt web3 technologies along with Metaverse projects. That is why web2 platforms are now into a hard competition to exist in the market. The gaming platforms to Defi, all are switching to that web3 mechanism.
As a direct response to the ongoing invasion of Ukraine by Russian forces, the United States Department of the Treasury has today announced the addition of 24 individuals and two entities with ties to the Russian government to the sanctions list maintained by the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC).
The list includes organizations that OFAC claims backed Russia's invasion of Ukraine. These organizations include Task Force Rusich, an alleged neo-Nazi paramilitary outfit that the agency claims fought with Russia's troops in Ukraine.
Evasion prevention and a more isolated financial system in Russia
In retaliation for Russia's continuation of its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the United States and an international coalition of friends and partners moved swiftly to significantly cut off Russia's access to the world's financial system. They did this in reaction to Russia's actions. As a direct result of this, Russia has been working feverishly to develop innovative approaches to the processing of payments and the execution of transactions. The unjustified war being waged by the Kremlin has been sponsored both directly and indirectly by Russia's financial technocrats.
The designations announced today are directed at such efforts. Given the extensive sanctions that have been imposed on Russia's financial system this year, OFAC is also publishing a Frequently Asked Question (FAQ) document to provide additional guidance on the increased risk of assisting Russia's efforts to evade sanctions through the expanded use of the National Payment Card System (NSPK) or the Mir National Payment System. This is being done to provide information on the increased risk of doing so.
Vladimir Valerievich Komlev (Komlev) serves as both the Chairman of the Management Board and the Chief Executive Officer of NSPK. NSPK is a corporation that is owned by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and is responsible for operating the Mir payment card network inside that nation. In 2014, because of concern about potential penalties from the United States and Europe, Russia established its card payment system that is managed by the state. As part of his job, Komlev has been traveling across the world spreading awareness about the Mir network, which has the potential to help Russia evade international sanctions.
The reason behind the actions
This action is being taken in cooperation with those taken by the United States Department of Commerce, which is imposing further export control restrictions to better align with allies and partners as well as by the United States Department of State, which is attacking Russia's military and high-technology businesses.
OFAC did not stop at just adding Task Force Rusich to its list of sanctioned organizations; the organisation also disclosed and blacklisted cryptocurrency addresses associated with Bitcoin, Ether, and USDT.
Before Russia began its invasion of Ukraine in February of this year, crypto currency contributions started streaming into the country as both sides looked to supporters all over the world and used digital assets to get around limitations on border crossings.
According to a report published in July by the blockchain analytics company Chainalysis, organizations with ties to Russia had raised a total of $2 million in cryptocurrency. The vast majority of the funds raised were transferred in the cryptocurrencies Bitcoin ($1.45 million) and Ethereum ($590,000), with "considerable quantities" also transferred in the cryptocurrencies Tether, Litecoin, and Dogecoin.
Final Thoughts
On the other hand, Bitcoin, Ethereum, TRON, Polkadot, Dogecoin, and Solana were among the cryptocurrencies that contributed to Ukraine's over $100 million in cryptocurrency contributions by March 2022, according to the blockchain analytics platform Elliptic. These cryptocurrencies included Solana. Among these gifts was a sum of five million dollars from Vitalik Buterin, the co-founder of Ethereum. In recent months, OFAC has increased its investigation and penalizing of cryptocurrency addresses. As part of this expansion, the organization has included the Tornado Cash coin mixing service as well as multiple Ethereum addresses, claiming the usage of the service in money laundering.
The cryptocurrency market is subjected to various changes and reformations since the time it was introduced into the financial system. Since then it has been adopted by many companies and organizations as their mode of payment. There have been various kinds of crypto that have gained real fame over time and the Ethereum community is one of them. As the merge has taken place, the Ethereum community has been keeping a watch over it very much proudly. Ethereum has taken its first steps or has started a new venture as a proof-of-stake consensus.
Let's talk about the much-awaited merge
The much-awaited merge has filled them with a lot of eagerness and the community has not been able to keep its calm since then. This event has been termed quite historic even by many. Moments following this event one of the users even minted the first ever nonfungible token. It was consensuses of the proof-of-stake. The merge took place quite recently and various changes have followed it.
This merge took place on the 15th of September. It took place in the block of 15537393. The announcement regarding it came right after it the decision about the mint as well as the sale of the NFT. The NDT has also been referred to as a time capsule. It is specifically for a time capsule of the first NFT mint as well as the iconic panda face. This particular NFT was purchased very recently as well as very quickly for 36 ether.
This event was even tweeted by various trustworthy crypto information sources. It was a much talked about event to have taken place.
A look at all the tweets that followed and the information they contained
After the announcement about the PoS NFT was made, several tweets followed it. It was so much that it almost exploded on Twitter. There on been various positive as well as critical comments on the same. There have been some users who questioned the decision made by the authorities, whereas there were some who thought of it as the best decision ever made. There have been various other users who have even questioned whether the Merge panda is going to become the new ape.
This comment was made in the context of the iconic Bored Ape Yacht. With the emergence of the new system, a series of new somethings also appeared on the blockchain system. The authorities from different trusted sources such as Sheldon Evans, who is the founder of the Web3 lifestyle brand bloom, have also tweeted that this particular brand has formed the first ever official NFT collection to mint on the PoS network.
What the Ethereum community is boasting about?
There have been various users who have been seeking out different ways to showcase their achievements. While some have been showcasing their first ever minted digital assets there have been some who have been showing off their first purchase of the same. These purchases have been made on the very new system.
Conclusion
Consensys, another blockchain software company has also been trying to get more and more users to make their transactions on the PoS by the process of minting one of their NFTs. These commemorative NFTs are there to celebrate the Merge. This merger has also become the factor responsible for instigating various creative endeavors from different well-known and well-established companies. There have been various other displays of creativity one example of which is the Ethereum community coming together and creating a song for the event.
The crypto market is highly volatile and thus is more susceptible to changes now and then. However, for retail investors to be on the safe side it is important to gather knowledge on the way the market works to safeguard oneself from any unforeseen losses. Gathering adequate information is the most effective protection against a fluctuating market.
Instead of conducting a short search on Twitter, every digital network trading club, or trying to invest on Reddit, an individual might quickly identify several investors who may have significantly excelled well over a month, a season, or possibly an entire year. The very minimum of investigation that one must always carry out is a search. The bulk of rich market players cherry-pick several periods or operate many assets at the same period. This helps them ensure that there is always a comfortable lead to represent.
How has trading been affected widely?
On the other hand, thousands of traders realize that their investments have been effectively wiped out again, and they withdraw their money, leaving them with nothing. This is particularly the case when they use power and influence. Take a look at the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), which operates in the United Kingdom as an example. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) mandates that dealers disclose the percentage of their customers located within the jurisdiction who have been trading alternatives at a loss. According to the data that is currently available, around 69 to 84 percent of frequent participants end up losing money as a direct consequence of the situation.
The United States Financial Industry Regulatory Authority issued a judgment of $70 million to Robinhood in June 2021. The authority claimed that Robinhood must have caused "widespread and significant hardship" to its customers and provided "inaccurate information onto numbers of its members." The judgment was issued to Robinhood beginning in September 2016, and it was finalized in June 2021. In particular, the watchdog pointed to the network outage that occurred during 2018 and 2018, which hampered customers' abilities to carry out buy and sell transactions at times of significant economic unpredictability.
Take a look at the trends in the market
Markets are commonly used by those who engage in such exploitation to supplement the vast quantities of cash that they already possess by bringing in additional money. Because they possess these features, traders can place contracts without any recourse, which is somewhat comparable to acquiring creditworthiness; as a consequence, businesses have merely a noticeable edge over established in the market.
Conclusion
Because of the complex interaction between exchangers, individual investors, trading platforms, and whales, professional investors truly need to understand that there is no room in the economy for newcomers to participate in any way, shape, or form. Having a trade that is advantageous to both parties means that even these businesses have an easier time gaining favorable access to preliminary initial offerings, listings, or economic integration; this is the case regardless of whether or not a formal partnership is documented in writing. The only option for shareholders to protect themselves against incurring a loss is for them to completely forego investing and even steer clear of any kind of influence trading that can incur costs. Speculators who invest within a time frame of six weeks or longer give a better possibility of making a profit from each one of their holdings. This is the case regardless of the asset class.
